August starts with two important leading indicators published by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM): ISM Purchasing Managers Index ( PMI) for July, which is coming out Monday, 1st of August at 09:00 AM and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for the past month, which will see the light of day at…

US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) made quite a noise yesterday by releasing at 7:30 AM its advanced estimate of Q2 real (adjusted for inflation) Gross Domestic Product growth (a complete report is due at August 25, 2022). It says that in Apr-June GDP shrunk another 0.9 percentage adding to…

US Census Bureau issues its new home sales data (officially known as Monthly Residential Sales Report) at 9.00 AM, Tuesday July 2022. This report will be the most recent update on slowly-but-surely worsening conditions of the US real estate market, which FOMC analytics receive before FED rate announcement at 1.00…

One of the most detrimental effects which a growing number of gigantic centralized regulators have on markets is apparatchiks’ disregard to the uniqueness of local socio-economic conditions. Initially, when federal authorities are not so powerful and overwhelmingly dominant in all aspects of our lives they are quite satisfied acting as…

On Week 29 there are two notable macro-economic releases both aimed to gauge the state of the US real estate market (and, hence, ‘wealthy’ consumers’ economic sentiments) in June: U.S. Census Bureau’s Housing Starts and Building Permits reports (at 07:30 AM on Tuesday, July 19) as well as National Association…

This week brings us four updates of two leading and two lagging economic indicators to be watched closely. It starts on Wednesday, July 13 when Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish its June’s estimate of US yearly inflation rate. A month ago, when BLS revealed its May estimates, markets…

Living in the crypto-bubble during the recession brings to us a blessed ignorance. Fear-and-greed index, which is widely used by media commentators to sample crypto-market sentiments, has been steadily rising during the past week reaching to 24 today. Whether prices cause sentiments to change or vise-versa has been a theme…

Here’s my brief update of the prevailing investor sentiments (including, those in the Silicon Valley): Overall, markets participants gloom-and-doom dispositions have not been fundamentally negated, yet. All key negative macro-factors playing into the indefinite prolongation of the current bear market remain unchanged: FED is set to suppress US consumers demand…

On Tuesday July 05 2022 at 09:00 AM ET the Census Bureau of the U.S. Department of Commerce will publish the Factory orders report (Full Report on Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories and Orders). Because this is, essentially, an extension of the Durable Goods Report published by Bureau earlier, its influence on…