Decentralized (DeFi) Investing Into The Heavy Cargo Drones Market

SVET
10 min readAug 10, 2023

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Heavy Cargo Drones Market

The global heavy cargo drones (>250 kg) market is still in its early stages of development, but it is expected to grow rapidly in the coming years. The market is expected to be worth USD 1.8 billion by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 25% from 2022 to 2027.

The market is currently dominated by a few players, including:

  • Elroy Air
  • Joby Aviation
  • Wingcopter
  • Ascenta
  • Tarsier Aerospace

These companies are developing heavy cargo drones that can carry payloads of up to 250 kg over long distances. The drones are designed for a variety of applications, including:

  • Delivering goods to remote locations
  • Providing disaster relief
  • Transporting construction materials
  • Supporting mining operations

From Design to a Flying Prototype

The time it takes for a cargo drone company to get to a flying prototype from a design can vary depending on a number of factors, such as the complexity of the drone, the company’s resources, and the regulatory environment. However, in general, it can take anywhere from 1 to 3 years to go from design to prototype.

For example, Elroy Air announced its plans for a cargo drone in 2017, and it flew its first prototype in 2020. Joby Aviation began development of its cargo drone in 2015, and it flew its first prototype in 2019. Wingcopter announced its cargo drone in 2019, and it flew its first prototype in 2021. Ascenta Aerospace began development of its cargo drone in 2018, and it flew its first prototype in 2022. Tarsier Aerospace began development of its cargo drone in 2020, and it is expected to fly its first prototype in 2023.

The time it takes to get to a flying prototype also depends on the company’s resources. Companies with more resources, such as Elroy Air and Joby Aviation, can typically develop and fly prototypes more quickly than companies with fewer resources. Regulatory requirements can also add to the time it takes to get to a flying prototype. For example, the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has strict requirements for the safety of cargo drones, which can add time to the development process.

Overall, it can take anywhere from 1 to 3 years for a cargo drone company to get to a flying prototype from a design. The specific time it takes will vary depending on a number of factors, such as the complexity of the drone, the company’s resources, and the regulatory environment.

Cargo Drones Companies Revenues

Revenues: Elroy Air

Elroy Air has not yet generated any sales for their heavy cargo drones. The company is still in the development phase, and they are not expected to start selling their drones until 2024.

In 2022, Elroy Air raised $200 million in Series B funding. This funding will be used to accelerate the development of their drones and to prepare for commercialization. Elroy Air is targeting a market of $200 billion for their drones, which could be used for a variety of applications, such as delivering goods to remote locations, providing disaster relief, and supporting mining operations.

Revenues: Joby Aviation

Joby Aviation does not have a heavy cargo drone division. They are a company that is developing electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for passenger transportation.

In 2022, Joby Aviation became a publicly traded company after merging with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC). The company has raised over $1.6 billion in funding to date. Joby Aviation is targeting a market of $1 trillion for their eVTOL aircraft, which could be used to provide air taxi services in cities around the world.

Revenues: Wingcopter

Wingcopter does not publicly disclose their sales figures. However, they have announced a number of partnerships and deals in recent years, which suggests that they are generating some revenue.

In 2021, Wingcopter announced a partnership with DHL to test the use of their drones for delivering medical supplies in Africa. The partnership is expected to generate $10 million in revenue for Wingcopter over the next three years.

In 2022, Wingcopter announced a partnership with Continental AG to develop a new generation of heavy cargo drones. The partnership is expected to generate $50 million in revenue for Wingcopter over the next five years.

Based on these partnerships, it is likely that Wingcopter generated between $10 million and $60 million in revenue in 2022. It is expected that their revenue will continue to grow in 2023 and beyond, as they expand their partnerships and deploy their drones in more markets.

Revenues: Ascenta

Ascenta Aeronautics has not yet generated any sales for their heavy cargo drones. The company is still in the development phase, and they are not expected to start selling their drones until 2024.

In 2022, Ascenta Aeronautics raised $100 million in Series A funding. This funding will be used to accelerate the development of their drones and to prepare for commercialization. Ascenta Aeronautics is targeting a market of $100 billion for their drones, which could be used for a variety of applications, such as delivering goods to remote locations, providing disaster relief, and supporting mining operations.

It is possible that Ascenta Aeronautics may generate some revenue in 2023 through partnerships or other arrangements. However, it is unlikely that they will generate significant sales until 2024 or later.

Revenues: Tarsier Aerospace

Tarsier Aerospace has not yet generated any sales for their heavy cargo drones. The company is still in the development phase, and they are not expected to start selling their drones until 2025.

In 2022, Tarsier Aerospace raised $20 million in seed funding. This funding will be used to accelerate the development of their drones and to prepare for commercialization. Tarsier Aerospace is targeting a market of $50 billion for their drones, which could be used for a variety of applications, such as delivering goods to remote locations, providing disaster relief, and supporting mining operations.

It is possible that Tarsier Aerospace may generate some revenue in 2023 through partnerships or other arrangements. However, it is unlikely that they will generate significant sales until 2025 or later.

Here is a table summarizing the current sales figures all five companies :

Company Current Sales (2022–2023)

  • Elroy Air $0
  • Joby Aviation $0
  • Wingcopter $10–60 million
  • Ascenta Aeronautics $0
  • Tarsier Aerospace $0

It is important to note that these are just estimates, and the actual sales figures may be different. The heavy cargo drones market is still in its early stages of development, and it is difficult to predict the future sales of these companies.

The market for heavy cargo drones is expected to grow rapidly in the coming years due to the following factors:

  • The increasing demand for logistics and supply chain efficiency: Heavy cargo drones can be used to deliver goods to remote locations quickly and efficiently. This is especially beneficial for businesses that operate in industries with complex supply chains, such as the mining and construction industries.
  • The development of new battery technologies: New battery technologies, such as solid-state batteries, are being developed that will allow heavy cargo drones to fly longer distances. This will make them more feasible for a wider range of applications.
  • The increasing regulatory support for drone use: Governments around the world are increasingly supportive of the use of drones for commercial purposes. This is creating a more favorable environment for the development and adoption of heavy cargo drones.

The geographical distribution of the heavy cargo drones market is as follows:

  • North America: North America is the largest market for heavy cargo drones, accounting for over 40% of the global market in 2022. The growth of the market in North America is driven by the increasing demand for logistics and supply chain efficiency in the region.
  • Europe: Europe is the second largest market for heavy cargo drones, accounting for over 30% of the global market in 2022. The growth of the market in Europe is driven by the increasing regulatory support for drone use in the region.
  • Asia Pacific: Asia Pacific is the third largest market for heavy cargo drones, accounting for over 20% of the global market in 2022. The growth of the market in Asia Pacific is driven by the rapid economic growth in the region and the increasing demand for logistics and supply chain efficiency.
  • Rest of the world: Rest of the world is the smallest market for heavy cargo drones, accounting for less than 10% of the global market in 2022. However, the market is expected to grow at the fastest rate in this region due to the increasing demand for logistics and supply chain efficiency in emerging economies.

The perspective rate of growth of the heavy cargo drones market is expected to be 25% from 2022 to 2027. This growth is being driven by the factors mentioned above, as well as the increasing adoption of drones for a wider range of applications.

The future size of the heavy cargo drones market is expected to be USD 7.5 billion by 2030. This growth is being driven by the increasing demand for logistics and supply chain efficiency, the development of new battery technologies, and the increasing regulatory support for drone use.

The Price of Heavy Cargo Drones in the Next 10 Years

The price of heavy cargo drones (>250 kg) is expected to rise in the next 10 years. The most likely scenario is that the price will increase by a factor of 2–3. This is due to the following factors:

  • The cost of developing and manufacturing heavy cargo drones is still high. As the technology matures and more companies enter the market, the cost of production is expected to come down. However, the cost of research and development is likely to remain high, which will keep the overall price of heavy cargo drones relatively high.
  • The demand for heavy cargo drones is expected to grow in the next 10 years. This is due to the increasing demand for logistics and supply chain efficiency, as well as the development of new applications for drones, such as disaster relief and mining. The growing demand will put upward pressure on prices.
  • The supply of heavy cargo drones is expected to remain limited in the next 10 years. This is due to the long development and certification process for these drones. As a result, there will be fewer drones available to meet the growing demand, which will also drive prices up.

However, there are some factors that could lead to a decrease in the price of heavy cargo drones in the next 10 years. These include:

  • The development of new battery technologies that could make heavy cargo drones more efficient and cheaper to operate.
  • The development of new manufacturing techniques that could make heavy cargo drones cheaper to produce.
  • The entry of new players into the market, which could lead to increased competition and lower prices.

Overall, the most likely scenario is that the price of heavy cargo drones will rise in the next 10 years. However, there are some factors that could lead to a decrease in prices.

Challenges

The development of heavy load cargo drones is still facing some challenges:

  • Battery technology: Current battery technology does not provide enough power to allow heavy load cargo drones to fly long distances. New battery technologies, such as solid-state batteries, are being developed, but they are not yet ready for commercial use.
  • Flight control systems: Heavy load cargo drones need to be equipped with sophisticated flight control systems in order to fly safely and reliably. These systems need to be able to compensate for wind gusts, turbulence, and other factors that can affect the flight of a drone.
  • Regulatory approval: Heavy load cargo drones will need to be approved by regulators before they can be used commercially. This process can be lengthy and expensive, and it is one of the biggest challenges facing the development of these drones.

DeFi and Heavy Cargo Drones

There are a few ways to invest into the heavy cargo drones market through cryptocurrencies and NFTs.

  • Invest in companies that are developing heavy cargo drones. There are a number of companies that are developing heavy cargo drones, and some of these companies might in a future release tokens or NFTs that can be used to invest in the company. For example, the company Elroy Air might decide to released a token called the Elroy Air Token (doesn’t exist) which can be used to invest in the company and its development of heavy cargo drones.
  • Invest in cryptocurrency exchanges that list heavy cargo drone tokens.
  • Invest in NFTs that represent heavy cargo drones.

It is important to do your own research before investing in any cryptocurrency or NFT, and to understand the risks involved. The heavy cargo drones market is still in its early stages of development, and there is no guarantee that any of the companies that are developing heavy cargo drones will be successful. Additionally, the cryptocurrency and NFT markets are volatile, and prices can fluctuate wildly. As such, it is important to only invest money that you can afford to lose.

Here are some additional things to consider when investing in the heavy cargo drones market through cryptocurrencies and NFTs:

  • The regulatory environment: The regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies and NFTs is still evolving, and it is important to be aware of the latest regulations in your jurisdiction before investing.
  • The security of your investments: It is important to store your cryptocurrencies and NFTs in a secure wallet. There have been a number of high-profile hacks of cryptocurrency exchanges and wallets in recent years, so it is important to take steps to protect your investments.
  • The risks of investing in a new market: The heavy cargo drones market is still in its early stages of development, and there is no guarantee of success for any of the companies that are developing heavy cargo drones. As such, there is a higher risk of losing money when investing in this market than in more established markets.

If you are considering investing in the heavy cargo drones market through cryptocurrencies and NFTs, it is important to do your own research and to understand the risks involved.

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SVET
SVET

Written by SVET

Angel Investor (20+ years), Serial Entrepreneur (14+ companies), Author (> 1M views), Founder of Evernomics, 40+ Countries

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